Are We In El Nino In 2024. The informal threshold for a “very strong” el niño event is 2.0 °c above average, so we’re there for the second month in a row. El niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent.
The cyclical el niño effect which helped put the world on track for a heat record this year and is continuing to exacerbate and interfere with weather patterns will. The strong chance of la niña later this summer is one of the factors leading noaa forecasters to predict a much more active atlantic hurricane season than usual in 2024.
